Linoge has Year Four of his Graphics Matter series up. And there’s a big surprise!
Anywise, as we can clearly see, firearm ownership took a marked jump around the 2008-2009 range (I wonder why?), while the total number crimes committed with firearms (CCwF) have been decreasing at various rates since 2007 and the rate of CCwF has been decreasing since 2006. Why, it is almost like the number of firearms in public circulation has absolutely no bearing on the number of crimes committed with those firearms!
Lo and behold, it does not. If we solve for the Pearson correlation coefficient for the raw numbers of firearms in circulation against the raw numbers of crimes committed with firearms, you find that ‘r’-value to be -0.45541 – a weak, negative correlation.
Then if we do what all good statisticians should do and consider rates instead of raw numbers, the rate of firearm ownership correlates to the rate of CCwF with a coefficient of -0.59906 – an arguably strong, negative correlation.
Well, okay. If you’ve been paying any attention at all, it’s not really a surprise. We see, yet again, that the anti-Rights cultists’ claims that “more guns = more crime” simply doesn’t hold up to even a simple reasoned analysis once actual evidence is taken into account.
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